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      08-24-2024, 04:46 PM   #67
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Originally Posted by XutvJet View Post
Don't you have sleepless nights knowing you're one fairly minor health situation away from potential bankruptcy?

It does not compute with me that someone with a newer $100K+ M5, pays high rent, and has $400 in the bank and says they can't invest. A pretty minor change in lifestyle would change that. The reality is most of us living into their 70s. Retirement life on social security only is pretty dismal unless you're in stellar shape, live a small cabin, and you forage for all your food
I guess if you live a certain way long enough, you develop a certain (willful) ignorance of things. I'm in very good health, but things do happen... and could happen. The $400 is definitely a low point. I made $50k/yr more when I bought the M5. Definitely living lean right now and spend a great deal of time trying to find an additional job. I've knocked around selling the M5 mentally, but I'm waiting a few more months to see if the G90 will ramp up interest because I need the gap to be under $30k. I've talked to a few, and no one wants it unless I'm willing to sell it for the same price as a 2019 M5, which is a gap I'm just not going to swallow. I'm not desperate, but I am currently stuck with no way forward unless I can add on some adjunctive income (or cut expenses by one M5).

I feel too far late to invest in anything, even if I had the disposable income, and for whom would I be investing? I'm very pragmatic. I really do not plan on living past my 60's. I just see no point in experiencing entropy's best. There is no one to whom I could leave anything, but if I had it, I would leave it to an animal rescue.

Edit: Forgot to mention, all of that disposable income I had for years. I blew every bit of it. I have a weakness for greedy women.

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      08-24-2024, 05:26 PM   #68
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Long story, shortened - Most should stick with mutual funds, and index funds specifically.
While working for the West Coast's second largest money manager in the late 80s, the firm's founding partner once offered this advice at a group gathering: "Unless you've got at least $2 million, you belong in index funds." That's roughly $5.3 million today.

This was and is standard, conservative, growing-assets-for-retirement-and-your-estate advice focused first and foremost on capital preservation. This wasn't an argument against buying individual stocks, but instead one designed to maximize risk-adjusted returns over a lifetime.

Everyone in the room already knew the general concept; it was his estimation of $2 million in 1988 dollars that made his statement interesting. It was quite a bit more than I would have guessed.
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      08-24-2024, 09:03 PM   #69
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Yes - my savings is no longer in that type of acct. Was for yrs. Now in various accts managed by our financial advisors.
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Originally Posted by GrussGott View Post
Sounds pizzagatey.
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      08-26-2024, 10:00 AM   #70
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If saving more for retirement ment delaying your dream car by years, would that be worth the sacrifice to you?
No. I'm retired and I am glad I saved/invested for retirement. For years I max'd out my IRA/401(k) contributions and set aside cash for rainy days.

But I did manage a dream car or two along the way. Just that I had realistic dreams...

When I decided I wanted to experience a mid-engine car while of course there were Ferrari cars around I settled on a more affordable (and I believe more practical) mid-engine car a new (2002) Boxster. Not even the S but the base model. The Boxster proved to be a wonderful car that I owned for 16 years and drove for 317K miles.

When I decided I wanted to experience a 911 I found a nice 2003 996 Turbo. Used. Six years old but with less than 10K miles. And it came from the (Porsche) dealer with a 2 year/100K mile warranty. My dream car didn't cost me $119K (the sticker price of the 2003 Turbo when new) but $57.7K.

(One take away from my 996 Turbo purchase experience is I calculated the original owner paid $6/mile in depreciation for every one of those ~10K miles he drove the car. This is playing a role in my considering buying a (new) 2024 M8 Competition Coupe and that is the huge depreciation hit the car will almost certainly experience.)

My current I guess it could be called dream car is my 2023 M2.

Might add that while I managed to afford and buy my dream cars over the years -- but as I mentioned above realistic dream cars -- I was frugal in other areas of my life. I was perfectly willing to forgo other expensive life style choices in order to keep my savings/retirement savings contributions max'd out and yet drive my dream car. With I might add no car payments.
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      08-26-2024, 04:49 PM   #71
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I bought a new Ferrari 360 in 2001, and sold it in 2007 for the same amount I paid. It was the cheapest car I ever owned, aside from Ferrari holding my money for six years. I don't know if that's common among Ferraris, but I can't imagine a Ferrari not coming out cheaper than a M8 in the same situation.
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      08-26-2024, 05:39 PM   #72
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I sold my 2006 Z4M last week, bought it for $30,500 in 2012, 12 years later sold it for $35,900. Not one repair, roughly $500 a year for insurance. All sounds great until looking at this online site which shows what $30,500 invested in the S&P 500 in 2012 would be worth today -


https://ofdollarsanddata.com/sp500-calculator/

Nominal Price Return: 312.95%
Annualized: 12.36%
Investment Grew To: $125,949.25
Nominal Total Return (with dividends reinvested): 415.48%
Annualized: 14.43%
Investment Grew To: $157,221.81

Inflation Adjusted - Investment Grew To: $115,175.70

I'm glad I did it, at the time could easily afford it, purchased with cash, but shows you what time invested could have done with it. Z4M in 2012 or a used GT3 today?
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      08-26-2024, 06:26 PM   #73
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This thread prompted me to dig in to a couple accounts my wife and I have with a financial advisor that her parents have used for 15 + years. We decided to give him those accounts to manage (these were old ESOP and 401k's from previous jobs).

The online dashboard I can access goes back to September 2021 and our balance was $187K at that time. Today the balance is $201K. That is a crap return. I honestly have not been paying enough attention but basically we lost our ass in 2022 (balance got down to $140K) and since then it has recovered so our quarterly report-out meetings over the last 1.5 years have been very positive with tons of gains-- but, i didn't go back far enough to see how far it had gone down to get the whole story.

Anyone else get their butt kicked in any accounts during that time frame? I didn't want to share this amount of detail with complete strangers but seems like there are some good financial minds on here that can chime in. I'm ready to move my accounts somewhere else.
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      08-26-2024, 06:39 PM   #74
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      08-26-2024, 06:46 PM   #75
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Well you picked a pretty tough time slice to measure. Sep 2021 was the peak of a long gain, 1/23 was about the bottom of a pretty big drop, and we've been climbing nicely since. So I wouldn't panic too much from that view where you gained about 7.5%.

That said, my money is largely in S&P and NASDAQ index funds, for which I don't pay a financial manager to do anything, plus a chunk essentially in bonds and cash for short term spending. During that same period my gain was about 13.3%, and corresponds with my belief in index funds, not financial advisors.
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      08-26-2024, 07:11 PM   #76
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One usually doesn't care much about retirement until it's time to retire, forced or otherwise, and then it's too late.
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      08-26-2024, 07:58 PM   #77
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Originally Posted by ezaircon4jc View Post
One usually doesn't care much about retirement until it's time to retire, forced or otherwise, and then it's too late.
Yeah, definitely. You gotta plan ahead. Thought about it from day 1.
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      08-26-2024, 08:47 PM   #78
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JMcLellan View Post
This thread prompted me to dig in to a couple accounts my wife and I have with a financial advisor that her parents have used for 15 + years. We decided to give him those accounts to manage (these were old ESOP and 401k's from previous jobs).

The online dashboard I can access goes back to September 2021 and our balance was $187K at that time. Today the balance is $201K. That is a crap return. I honestly have not been paying enough attention but basically we lost our ass in 2022 (balance got down to $140K) and since then it has recovered so our quarterly report-out meetings over the last 1.5 years have been very positive with tons of gains-- but, i didn't go back far enough to see how far it had gone down to get the whole story.

Anyone else get their butt kicked in any accounts during that time frame? I didn't want to share this amount of detail with complete strangers but seems like there are some good financial minds on here that can chime in. I'm ready to move my accounts somewhere else.

From Sept 2021 to now the S&P has gained almost 25% (7.861 annualized). A 50/50 porfolio with the FI portion in MMF (not necessarily advisable, but safe @ 5% now), would have returned 6.5% a year. Or a total return of appx 19.5%. With dividends reinvested the S&P for that period returned about 30% (9.425% annualized). Your total return is 7.5% after almost three years. That is 2.5% annualized. Unless I misread something. Keep in mind, few are going to be 100% stocks.

You may have told him you were very risk averse and did not want to lose any money and he put it all in something like T-bills. But, it is not what I would call a great return. That is just a quick "back of envelope" calculation.

2022 was a bad year for both stocks and bonds. But, this is why I don't use a FA. They are better than nothing, but tend to use a "set and forget" process. And always get their fees. When I see a train coming, I get off the tracks. Several things were telegraphed very clearly. First was CoVid. Then inflation. And next, the clear knowledge that rates were going up. All three had logical responses, to those paying attention.

On edit: Right now a 4th event is being telegraphed: rate cuts. That is also useful information that could be acted upon.
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      08-26-2024, 10:48 PM   #79
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tracknut View Post
Well you picked a pretty tough time slice to measure. Sep 2021 was the peak of a long gain, 1/23 was about the bottom of a pretty big drop, and we've been climbing nicely since. So I wouldn't panic too much from that view where you gained about 7.5%.

That said, my money is largely in S&P and NASDAQ index funds, for which I don't pay a financial manager to do anything, plus a chunk essentially in bonds and cash for short term spending. During that same period my gain was about 13.3%, and corresponds with my belief in index funds, not financial advisors.
Thank you for the perspective. I know that things can't go up unless they also go down but really struggling with a 13k gain over nearly 3 years on a nearly 200k basis. My 401k account thru fidelity has produced at a higher level with the limited investing options they provide. My capital one savings account provides 4% (maybe even a little more) annual return. Makes me question why I'm paying my FA.
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      08-26-2024, 10:57 PM   #80
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DrVenture View Post
From Sept 2021 to now the S&P has gained almost 25% (7.861 annualized). A 50/50 porfolio with the FI portion in MMF (not necessarily advisable, but safe @ 5% now), would have returned 6.5% a year. Or a total return of appx 19.5%. With dividends reinvested a total return of about 30% (9.425% annualized). Your total return is 7.5% after almost three years. That is 2.5% annualized. Unless I misread something. Keep in mind, few are going to be 100% stocks.

You may have told him you were very risk averse and did not want to lose any money and he put it all in something like T-bills. But, it is not what I would call a great return. That is just a quick "back of envelope" calculation.

2022 was a bad year for both stocks and bonds. But, this is why I don't use a FA. They are better than nothing, but tend to use a "set and forget" process. And always get their fees. When I see a train coming, I get off the tracks. Several things were telegraphed very clearly. First was CoVid. Then inflation. And next, the clear knowledge that rates were going up. All three had logical responses, to those paying attention.
This outfit has our money spread across multiple funds/stocks and we have our profile set at medium risk. We have a quarterly review coming up and I'm going to press into them a bit. Luckily, the bulk of our retirement money is managed elsewhere and things are performing much better.
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      08-26-2024, 11:39 PM   #81
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JMcLellan View Post
This outfit has our money spread across multiple funds/stocks and we have our profile set at medium risk. We have a quarterly review coming up and I'm going to press into them a bit. Luckily, the bulk of our retirement money is managed elsewhere and things are performing much better.
I guess then they have no excuse.
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      08-27-2024, 08:35 AM   #82
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tracknut View Post
Well you picked a pretty tough time slice to measure. Sep 2021 was the peak of a long gain, 1/23 was about the bottom of a pretty big drop, and we've been climbing nicely since. So I wouldn't panic too much from that view where you gained about 7.5%.

That said, my money is largely in S&P and NASDAQ index funds, for which I don't pay a financial manager to do anything, plus a chunk essentially in bonds and cash for short term spending. During that same period my gain was about 13.3%, and corresponds with my belief in index funds, not financial advisors.
We have about 1/2 our money with a financial advisor, did it for a lot of reasons, he's a good friend of mine (couples go on vacation together), gives good advice & technically somewhat managing all my money but fees are on half, we also have no kids, he's 15 years younger than me & there is the potential of needing more help with finances as I get really old (hopefully 25 years away?).

100% agree you don't need one & probably wouldn't have one if it wasn't for this odd situation. I will say it's like anything else that you debate between DIY/hiring a professional - taxes (i hire), plumbing (I sometimes DIY), to building a new deck (I DIY), always cheaper to DIY you just have to be educated on what you are doing & want to do it. Neither he or I believe in trying to time the market when it comes to drastic moves over short periods of time but for timing we have followed some general trends with balancing things out, small enough to not make a huge difference, large enough to pick up gains.

Potential trends like Growth stocks possibly slowing down, interest rates dropping - bond prices go up, Small Caps generally do better when interest rates are lower.

As to whether I have come out ahead with him, hard to say.
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      08-28-2024, 08:00 AM   #83
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vreihen16 View Post
I am going to ditto the above, with a footnote that I'm living the nightmare right now.

I spent my younger days "investing" all of my money in rubber, trophy futures, and racing expenses. Got married around age 40, to a wife who is younger than me and also had not planned for retirement.

Long story short, my employer of almost 39 years made me an early retirement offer that I *shouldn't* refuse (as in take this deal or else layoff) in June.

My retirement account is severely under-funded for me, and will still need to support my younger wife after I'm gone. As you can see in my forum signature, I had to sell my BMW rather than pay insurance on it to sit in the driveway with nowhere to go. My dream car (purchased new when I was young/stupid) is sitting in my enclosed race car hauler, and will qualify for NY State historic license plates in January. It hasn't even been started since 2019, and will likely be the living room centerpiece if I can scrape up enough money to build our retirement Garage Mahal down south without incurring any more debt.

If that isn't enough motivation to start saving, let me tell you about a colleague that I used to work with. In the 1970's, he had a job in college that made him open a retirement account. He put $1,500 into that account, and totally forgot about it. When it came time for him to retire, he discovered the long-forgotten retirement account. How much do you think was in it? $87,000! Yes, enough cash to buy a pretty nice dream car if he wanted one. (His primary retirement account had over $2 million in it when he retired, and using the 4% rule he can pull out almost $7,000/month to live on without touching his balance.)

Back about 10 years ago, I went on a campaign to get all of my younger colleagues at work to sign up for the retirement plan and get the employer match. Don't make me have to come and hit you over the head!!!!!
Like most people here, I hope everything works out for you in the end. Thank you for sharing your story because real stories like these can really help people.

Your post personally made me revisit my finances and run the numbers last night just to make sure I'm on track.
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      08-28-2024, 08:29 AM   #84
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The saddest thing is realizing that I stupidly passed on 20 years of *crazy* matches that my employer was offering, like I put in 5% and they matched with 9.5 - 12%!!!!!
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      08-28-2024, 08:47 AM   #85
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If delaying my dream car means I’m more secure in the future, I’d probably do it. But I’d also look for ways to save smartly so I don’t have to put off my dream for too long.
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      08-28-2024, 01:25 PM   #86
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vreihen16 View Post
The saddest thing is realizing that I stupidly passed on 20 years of *crazy* matches that my employer was offering, like I put in 5% and they matched with 9.5 - 12%!!!!!

A policy that some companies implemented in lieu of pension plans.
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      08-28-2024, 01:39 PM   #87
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Originally Posted by vreihen16 View Post
...

If that isn't enough motivation to start saving, let me tell you about a colleague that I used to work with. In the 1970's, he had a job in college that made him open a retirement account. He put $1,500 into that account, and totally forgot about it. When it came time for him to retire, he discovered the long-forgotten retirement account. How much do you think was in it? $87,000! Yes, enough cash to buy a pretty nice dream car if he wanted one. (His primary retirement account had over $2 million in it when he retired, and using the 4% rule he can pull out almost $7,000/month to live on without touching his balance.)
...
Just for clarity: the 4% rule isn't necessarily about leaving the balance untouched. It is a safe withdrawal strategy that involves not running entirely out of funds down the road. I mention this because a person can have far less and still take $7k, for instance.

IRT your colleague example, My wife quit working when our son was born. She left a data entry job of 13 years. It was not a high paying job. She had a 401K that I invested her into (6% w/ 6% match) long before we even got married. And a small pension buyout. I was still in college at the time. She was scraping by, but did it anyhow for the match.

When she left the company, I did a proper rollover to avoid taxes. That $20K is now nearly half a million, 30 years later. She doesn't even know that she has it! lol This illustrates the power of time, company match and tax deferment in a real world scenario.

The funny thing about people who say they cannot save, is that if they made $20K more, they would say the same thing. And complain about taxes, while ignoring tax advantages available to them.
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      08-28-2024, 04:01 PM   #88
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tracknut View Post
Well you picked a pretty tough time slice to measure. Sep 2021 was the peak of a long gain, 1/23 was about the bottom of a pretty big drop, and we've been climbing nicely since. So I wouldn't panic too much from that view where you gained about 7.5%.

That said, my money is largely in S&P and NASDAQ index funds, for which I don't pay a financial manager to do anything, plus a chunk essentially in bonds and cash for short term spending. During that same period my gain was about 13.3%, and corresponds with my belief in index funds, not financial advisors.
Right there with you. I fired my FA about 10 years ago after reading the short and overly redundant book called "The Little Book of Common Sense Investing" and realizing that my FA/Morgan Stanley was taking way more than 1% when I actually looked into all the various fees and crap I was paying them (more like nearly 2%/yr) plus I was mostly in actively managed accounts largely because I didn't know any better. My FA and Morgan Stanley amounted to tens of thousands of dollars a year in broker/management fees ON TOP of the actively managed fund fees. Worse yet, my portfolio wasn't anywhere close to tracking or exceeding the S&P and my FA always had BS excuses as to why. I also hated having to request him to do simple things to my account. I did a bunch of research and got up the guts to invest myself, then fired my FA, and went to Vanguard and invested mostly in S&P500 index funds and a bit of Berkshire Class B and never looked back.

My 79 y/o mother, who still has the same FA I fired, still thinks I'm crazy for moving my money and repeatedly says I don't know what I'm doing or why I would risk such a thing. I don't have the heart to tell her my portfolio went from being 30% less than hers to exceeded hers 4 years ago and is now worth double what hers is. She just assumes I'm losing money and will learn a hard lesson.

I can't stress enough that the easy path to being a successful investor with the goal of retiring with $1M-5M is as simple as investing 80-95% in S&P500 index funds and some bond funds and keeping it there long-term; the investment percentages varying with age and risk tolerance. Once you exceed $3M-ish, then it may be wise to look at other investment vehicles and also use the occasional help of fiduciary, a tax person, and attorney to sift through tax stuff, trusts, etc.

What I find a bit funny about my wife and I is that, while we've accumulated some pretty dang good wealth for our ages, we often evaluate even $100 purchases and ask ourselves "Do we really need/want this?" It seems to have gotten worse too the larger our portfolio has grown
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The forest was shrinking, but the Trees kept voting for the Axe, for the Axe was clever and convinced the Trees that because his handle was made of wood, he was one of them.

Last edited by XutvJet; 08-28-2024 at 04:08 PM..
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