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Originally Posted by chad86tsi
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Originally Posted by jmg
Actually, lithium batteries cost per kWh is down by 90% since 2010 and hopefully more car manufacturers will make it easier to swap out batteries, especially in labor costs. Battery swaps in lieu of charging has already been adopted in China and is spreading. With recycling getting raise in the future, the cost effectiveness of EV batteries will
only increase.
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The cost has risen for some batteries, not fallen. The chevy volt is a perfect example and this is cited/detailed in the link I provided. Antiquated parts = more expensive. I deal with this in my line of work a lot, antiquated replacements to keep an asset running often cost more than starting over = disposable society.
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Also, less moving parts means less overall maintenance for an EV. So while you might know how to drop in a new had gasket every 120k miles, EVs simply don't have head gaskets. Rough idling, sluggish old clunkers will be largely a thing of the past, not to mention oil stains in the driveway.
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Until the battery reaper comes a calling, then it's going to be ~$25,000. Sure, you saved on oil changes and timing chains... It may even be a wash on some platforms, but you don't need a 2nd mortgage to change your oil. |
Unfortunately early adapters will suffer high costs due to ever changing technology and old components like you mentioned, which is why I always advocated leasing current EV's until technology makes them cheaper to own long term.
I think eventually a new battery will be $10k and last 10 years for newer cars. Take into account $3k timing belt change, $2500 head gasket, and $120x10=$1200 in oil changes and it's not too bad considering the car will run like new.